Here's the plan. I highlight a position match-up for each SEC game. I create a spread based on each player's average pts per game (based on the scoring system we use for the SECFFL). Then you get my prediction. It's that simple. And if this peaks your interest re: SEC fantasy football, find us and we'll give you the deets.
Jevan Snead -3.6 @ Stephen Garcia
I personally had both these guys on my roster last season, and once Garcia got the starting nod, I had visions of greatness--top recruited QB, mobile, big arm, Spurrier system--but the guy managed to let me down every time I started him. Snead, meanwhile, got better and better and each game progressed.
Just like the spread for the actual game, this one is muddy. The SC defense has been both praised and blasted, and I tend to take the UGA game as more acurate picture of them than the NCSU game.
VERDICT: SNEAD -3.6
Keiland Williams -1 @ Anthony Dixon
This one should be this close because KW has to split time with Charles Scott, and Dixon plays for Miss. State, by far the worst SEC school in terms of fantasy production within the past decade. Vandy does make it a close race for worst, but Vandy typically has a couple useful guys and a strong defense, while Miss St has pretty much been represented solely by their feature RB over the years. This year is no different.
Dixon is only going to get more productive as the season goes on, as Mullen realizes he can't execute anything but Dixon up the middle. It all starts here. Keiland on the other hand, has an opportunity to seperate himself from Scott. The only problem? Les Miles, who has held KW back ever since '07, when jaws dropped (well, mine) as we witnessed Jacob Hester getting hand off after hand off on that first game of the season (against none other than State). That didn't stop all season, and it left KW owners (myself included) cursing the name of Les Miles.
VERDICT: DIXON +1
Ryan Mallett -12.5 @ Greg McElroy
Mallett and Arkansas are unreal. Vintage Petrino -- just hope your offense scores more than your defense allows--it's usually close. Mallett has proven to be the man for this offense, and he proved it last week with a giant 40+ pt performance against UGA...in a loss, mind you.
McElroy was barely considered fantasy-worthy before the season, but he has proved his worth, averaging almost 20 pts a game (very respectable in our league). He's challenged with a lack of WR quality, especially with Julio hurt the past two weeks, but he plays smart. You won't get many negative points out of him (i.e. INTs/fumbles). He's also good for 200-250 yds + 1-2 TDs. And that will be enough to cover.
VERDICT: McELROY +12.5
Riley Cooper -1.4 @ Chris Matthews
Every season, there's at least one hyped-up JUCO player who fails to live up to the billing. This season, welcome to the Chris Matthews Show. Desperate for a WR to play opposite Randall Cobb, Matthews and his 6-5 frame have been praised by both UK fans and the media. Unlike former Wildcat Steve Johnson, Matthews has been seen by most as a JUCOer who wouldn't need a season to warm up to the big leagues. So far, he grabbed 10 catches total in UK's two games, second only to Cobb's 13.
A guy like Riley Cooper is dreaded in fantasy leagues--listed high on depth charts but fails to get the stats a #1 or 2 WR should get. That's why he went for $1 in our auction this season, but at that price, you can't argue with his low ceiling. With Deonte injured and Harvin/Murphy gone, he's been one of Tebow's few passing options...which is why there passing game was so miserable against a good UT defense. Expect Florida to get more creative this week...which will leave Cooper an afterthought in Florida's gameplan.
VERDICT: CHRIS MATTHEWS +1.4
No comments:
Post a Comment